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The_GodfatherSJP
The_GodfatherSJP
Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 1:20 PM EDT | Post edited: Sep 17 2009, 5:09 PM EDT
Link here: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdowns/chart/?id=vs-terminator.htm

It looks like it won't surpass T3 either. T3 raked in 283 million in foreign numbers and 150 million in US, for 433 million total. As of 9/10/09, T4 is at 371.3 million and appears to have finished it's run in the US. After my last posting, it made 63.5k the following week from August 24-30, then made about 35.6k the rest of its run which ended on the 10th. It's grand total domestically 125.3 million dollars, about 25 million below T3.

As for foreign numbers, T4 is still sitting at 246.0 as of 8/23/09, up from 245.3 million the previous week. This is because of a late opening in Mexico, putting the new foreign estimate at 246-250 million. Unfortunately the latest update available is for the week of 8/23/09 and no update has occurred since. That puts the likely total gross from the film between 370-375 million, about 55-65 million below T3. It cost the same to produce, but as Tscchope kindly provided some budgeting data, it's not a flop for all parties involved. WB invested 60 million in the project and has US distribution and marketing, Sony invested 100 and has international distributing and marketing, Halcyon put up the rest.

Assuming Halcyon splits the grosses 50/50 with each partner, they receive 50 million from the US gross and about 96-98 million international gross, for a total of 146-148 million (profit about 105 million). They also receive money from any DVD sales. WB only gets 50 million from the gross, that puts them 50-60 million in the red after marketing, so they need very strong DVD sales to break even. Sony will get about 96-98 million as well putting them in the red by 2-4 million before marketing, with marketing they're in the red by 40-50 million.

Obviously Halcyon looks very good and the studios look bad.

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Cammynator
Cammynator
1. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 1:34 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 1:34 PM EDT
It's looking pretty bad huh? So it cost 200 millions to make and it only made 79 millions of profit? 0  out of 1 found this valuable. Do you?    
Munter
Munter
2. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 1:45 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 1:45 PM EDT
I know.........why don't they they take the franchise to TV, it's bound to be more popular there.............oh wait......

But seriously, does anyone know if TSCC actually turned a profit for WB, or did they pass it on at cost?

As much as I don't want the franchise to suffer, isn't this goodish news for TSCC. WB must know of the dedicated fanbase for TSCC and might turn to us for more profit.

.
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Cammynator
Cammynator
3. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 1:55 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 1:55 PM EDT
"But seriously, does anyone know if TSCC actually turned a profit for WB, or did they pass it on at cost?

."
They must have made profit from it. I mean each ep costs what?2/3 million to make? TSCC airs in 70 countries. Don't they sell rights to tv networks to air the show? And they must make lots of money from dvd sales too.
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Gusar
Gusar
4. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 2:03 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 2:03 PM EDT
"But seriously, does anyone know if TSCC actually turned a profit for WB, or did they pass it on at cost?"
Considering they had to pretty much give the back 9 away just to keep the show on the air... I'd say they haven't made profit on it. Especially since the DVD sales are nothing special. In the last few days I've been reading about amazing sales of some shows (True Blood in particular), there was nothing like that for TSCC. We'll have to see how season 2 will do.
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The_GodfatherSJP
The_GodfatherSJP
5. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 3:02 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 3:02 PM EDT
DVD sales of 300k in the US are considered very, very good. That's the bare minimum for TSCC to go anywhere.

As for the profit margin, it's made back it's budget, so it's not a bomb, but movies aren't considered hits unless they double their budget. T4 needs to hit the 400 million mark to be considered a hit, and I mean a hit as in a successful picture. It's barely going to make that if the international numbers hold.

In all honesty, they probably won't. T4 brought in 65 million it's second full week of release, down from 99 million, so it's a 33% drop. That's great for a movie, but unlikely to stay. Expect a 40% drop next week, to 39-40 million or less. Puts it at 200 million internationally, with about 118 in the US, for about 320 million in 5 weekends in the US and 3 weekends internationally. After that, the take is going to have every weekend, to 20 million internationally, then 10, then 5, and so on. That's the norm for most movies. At that rate, we're looking at a high 300 million, 380 or so, for the total gross, about 50 million less than T3.
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tscc1000
tscc1000
6. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 6:10 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 6:10 PM EDT
"... At that rate, we're looking at a high 300 million, 380 or so, for the total gross, about 50 million less than T3."
So what's your opinion, GF? Will this be enough to get us T5 or even T6?

(If I could get TSCC season 3 instead, of course then forget about T5 and T6!)
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MMM.MIND
MMM.MIND
7. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 6:33 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 6:33 PM EDT
"I know.........why don't they they take the franchise to TV, it's bound to be more popular there.............oh wait......

But seriously, does anyone know if TSCC actually turned a profit for WB, or did they pass it on at cost?

As much as I don't want the franchise to suffer, isn't this goodish news for TSCC. WB must know of the dedicated fanbase for TSCC and might turn to us for more profit.

."
I am pretty sure that WB / Halcyom sold TSCC a Fox with a Profit, Fox paid about 2 millions for episode.
TSCC DVD 1 season are good but no great ( check amazon) But TSCC DVD 2 season look great ( pre order are good)
Amazon data
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WB / Halcyon can make money with TSCC, it is good for save TSCC.
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MMM.MIND
MMM.MIND
8. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 6:44 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 6:44 PM EDT
"DVD sales of 300k in the US are considered very, very good. That's the bare minimum for TSCC to go anywhere.

As for the profit margin, it's made back it's budget, so it's not a bomb, but movies aren't considered hits unless they double their budget. T4 needs to hit the 400 million mark to be considered a hit, and I mean a hit as in a successful picture. It's barely going to make that if the international numbers hold.

In all honesty, they probably won't. T4 brought in 65 million it's second full week of release, down from 99 million, so it's a 33% drop. That's great for a movie, but unlikely to stay. Expect a 40% drop next week, to 39-40 million or less. Puts it at 200 million internationally, with about 118 in the US, for about 320 million in 5 weekends in the US and 3 weekends internationally. After that, the take is going to have every weekend, to 20 million internationally, then 10, then 5, and so on. That's the norm for most movies. At that rate, we're looking at a high 300 million, 380 or so, for the total gross, about 50 million less than T3."
No solid number but not crazy number
T4 income about 400
T4 movie cost about -200
T4 movie Theater cost -140
Profit 60 million between WB / HALCYON / SONY
Movies are not my business however 60 million profit for a Terminator movie is a disaster; someone is in a big trouble...
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Marcus_Wright
Marcus_Wright
9. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 6:45 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 6:46 PM EDT
"No solid number but not crazy number
T4 income about 400
T4 movie cost about -200
T4 movie Theater cost -140
Profit 60 million between WB / HALCYON / SONY
Movies are not my business however 60 million profit for a Terminator movie is a disaster; someone is in a big trouble...
"
i wonder how the merchandise has gone i saw a site that had one of those large well detailed figures of john connor for like $130 bucks and it was already sold out believe it or not O.O
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MMM.MIND
MMM.MIND
10. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 7:01 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 7:01 PM EDT
"i wonder how the merchandise has gone i saw a site that had one of those large well detailed figures of john connor for like $130 bucks and it was already sold out believe it or not O.O"
Good point
I do not have numbers about merchandise. I believe that a good box office movie must have a good merchandise profit; therefore number must be bad too for merchandise (I do not know for sure)
WB and Halcyon make mistakes with merchandise too, Terminator Salvation PC game is a disaster, it does not work, Terminator Salvation PC game company have to recall all Terminator Salvation PC games....
I would be happy if WB / Halcyon make a great T5 movie but I will hate a T5 like Terminator Salvation.......
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Marcus_Wright
Marcus_Wright
11. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 7:05 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 7:05 PM EDT
yeah i agree

I think salvation was what it was and was a solid film but i do hope if they make t5 it has a different/ bit stronger story to it
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TOK792
TOK792
12. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 7:18 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 7:18 PM EDT
I guess if all else fails, they can blame the Recession.

But still... ouch! :(
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PyroDude
13. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 7:47 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 7:47 PM EDT
"I guess if all else fails, they can blame the Recession.

But still... ouch! :("
Movies are one thing which can be 'recession proof' depending on how good they are. Terminator isn't really a family movie so it isn't as expensive to go and see. I think with the success of Night at the Museum Two, the big summer movie :p... it shows if it is a good movie it'll make money.

I'm trying to find information on how much a company gets from licenses for merchandise.

http://www.filmreference.com/encyclopedia/Independent-Film-Road-Movies/Merchandising-HISTORICAL-BACKGROUND-AND-DEFINITIONS.html

Second to last paragraph is the most I've been able to find so far.
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The_GodfatherSJP
The_GodfatherSJP
14. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 17 2009, 11:35 PM EDT | Post edited: Jun 17 2009, 11:35 PM EDT
The problem with T4, indeed the Terminator Franchise since T2, is that people aren't just expecting a hit. T3 actually made 433 million total, it's budget was 200 million. By the standard Hollywood view, it was a success, yet the studio was disappointed. Why?

Because Halcyon and the studio wanted a MEGAHIT. Think 3 times the budget. They wanted 500-600 million total, easily, for T3. It underperformed their expectations. Critics didn't blast the film, like they did with T4. The overall reviews are poorer for T4 if you check Rottentomatoes.com. And T4 has underperformed as well, coming in at number 2 it's opening weekend, but the studio wanted the same thing.

So this has Hollywood pundits asking if people have lost interest in Terminator. My question is if the interest was ever really widespread to begin with. T2 was a megahit, but you had two very famous Hollywood people at the height of their careers associated with it: James Cameron, one of the top directors and producers who was following up The Abyss and Aliens; and Arnold Schwarzenegger, a huge action star at the height of his fame following Predator, The Running Man, and Total Recall. That matters. T2's budget was also 102 million, equivalent to 160 million today (it's total gross was 520 million, equivalent to 782 million). Hollywood people are expecting this level of success again, with different ingredients. The universe itself, the name, is not enough, as we're seeing.

So is Terminator really this sci-fi blockbuster franchise? I wonder.
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PyroDude
15. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 18 2009, 12:34 AM EDT | Post edited: Jun 18 2009, 12:34 AM EDT
Personally I see Terminator as something more like Star Trek. It has a fan base, a big fan base. But not a giant one like Spider Man, X-Men, or a host of other films like Transformers.

Terminator can do well, really well, if it is targeted to the right fan base.

I think part of the problem is that WB/Halcyon, they have not exploited that. They let a lot of time go to waste between T2 and T3 and then with T4. Excluding TSCC (which obviously was not a waste, IMO) they didn't do much. Only a few comics and a couple of bland books.

Terminator can be a hit. It can be a franchise. It should have a whole shelf of books devoted to it like Trek and Wars. There are tons and tons of plots you can do with a friggen universe based on time travel for frak sake. But we just get a few boring books and some comics and that's it.

They need to treat it as a franchise with a target audience larger than a niche but smaller than mainstream. It will never be mainstream, but it wont be small like say, Warhammer 40k or BSG.

They could do cartoons, live action series, more books, comics, digital comics, and stuff consumers and fans can use to expand the story.
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Marcus_Wright
Marcus_Wright
16. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 18 2009, 12:41 AM EDT | Post edited: Jun 18 2009, 12:44 AM EDT
"Personally I see Terminator as something more like Star Trek. It has a fan base, a big fan base. But not a giant one like Spider Man, X-Men, or a host of other films like Transformers.

Terminator can do well, really well, if it is targeted to the right fan base.

I think part of the problem is that WB/Halcyon, they have not exploited that. They let a lot of time go to waste between T2 and T3 and then with T4. Excluding TSCC (which obviously was not a waste, IMO) they didn't do much. Only a few comics and a couple of bland books.

Terminator can be a hit. It can be a franchise. It should have a whole shelf of books devoted to it like Trek and Wars. There are tons and tons of plots you can do with a friggen universe based on time travel for frak sake. But we just get a few boring books and some comics and that's it.

They need to treat it as a franchise with a target audience larger than a niche but smaller than mainstream. It will never be mainstream, but it wont be small like say, Warhammer 40k or BSG.

They could do cartoons, live action series, more books, comics, digital comics, and stuff consumers and fans can use to expand the story."
Yeah i think your right about it not being as huge as spider-man and so on [which would pull in more kids than terminator would]

Dark horse comics has two Terminator Omnibus Comic books i bought volume 1 on amazon havent read much yet but it is very well drawn and looks fantastic

Cartoon could be interesting if it was dark and not to made for young kids especially if they got some of the writers from Batman TAS or X-men or Justice league or someone like that to make the cartoon
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GermaricanMix
GermaricanMix
17. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 18 2009, 12:41 AM EDT | Post edited: Jun 18 2009, 12:41 AM EDT
is boxofficemojo up to date with it's international numbers? I know they're daily on domestic. Do you find this valuable?    

PyroDude
18. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 18 2009, 1:00 AM EDT | Post edited: Jun 18 2009, 1:00 AM EDT
"Yeah i think your right about it not being as huge as spider-man and so on [which would pull in more kids than terminator would]

Dark horse comics has two Terminator Omnibus Comic books i bought volume 1 on amazon havent read much yet but it is very well drawn and looks fantastic

Cartoon could be interesting if it was dark and not to made for young kids especially if they got some of the writers from Batman TAS or X-men or Justice league or someone like that to make the cartoon
"
If they did a cartoon, I think if they did it American style it'd be pretty good. It could be pretty dark and you can pull off quite a bit in cartoons you can't do on the screen.
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DeadpooI
19. RE: Re: Latest T4 numbers from Boxofficemojo
Jun 18 2009, 7:30 AM EDT | Post edited: Jun 18 2009, 7:30 AM EDT
"If they did a cartoon, I think if they did it American style it'd be pretty good. It could be pretty dark and you can pull off quite a bit in cartoons you can't do on the screen."
I wouldn't be in favour of a Terminator cartoon, but you have an interesting point.
For instance, Wolverine can stab and bleed lots of people in his 12a certificated, cartoon ("Hulk vs Wolverine"), but will gingerly slash (bloodlessly) at 2 guards in his 12a certificated, live-action film .
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